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Absolute power and yet not powerful enough

St. Petersburg, Russia | 1767-1768

The core dilemma:

Pursue Enlightenment reforms that reflect her ideals even if they risk her relationship with the nobility
or
abandon them to preserve her power in absolutist Russia

Challenge

Consolidation

Power position:

Conditional

The situation:

Catherine came to power in 1762 through a coup that deposed her own husband, Tsar Peter III. She was German by birth, had no dynastic claim to the Russian throne, and owed her position directly to the imperial guard and a faction of the nobility. Her hold was real but its foundations were narrow.


To compensate, she built a second source of legitimacy: the image of an enlightened monarch. In 1767 she completed the Nakaz, a 526-article instruction for a new Russian legal code drawn from Montesquieu and Beccaria, proposing equality before the law and limits on torture. Voltaire called her the greatest ruler of the age. Frederick the Great said the Nakaz could not possibly be implemented in Russia.


He was right. Catherine convened 564 delegates representing the nobility, merchants, Cossacks, and state peasantry, every class except the serfs who formed the majority of the population. The commission met for eighteen months and produced nothing. The nobility used it to entrench their interests. In late 1768, Catherine dissolved it, citing the outbreak of war with the Ottoman Empire. The war was real. The pretext was convenient.

Leadership series of: 

Catherine the Great
Tsarina of Imperialist Russia

The Strategy 

Adaptation

Despite her strong commitment to reform, she concluded that the political cost, especially losing the support of the nobility, represented too great a risk to her power base, and ultimately chose to halt the reforms.

Catherine's response to failure was not to fight for the reforms or abandon them openly. She separated the performance of Enlightenment values from their implementation, and made the performance do the political work the implementation could not.
She continued corresponding with Voltaire and Diderot, patronized the arts, and presented Russia to Europe as a civilization in transformation. She never repudiated the Nakaz. She simply governed around it. On the issue the nobility cared most about — authority over the serfs — she not only declined to reform but expanded noble power, most consequentially after the Pugachev Rebellion of 1773, when she responded to the largest serf uprising in Russian history by binding the nobility more tightly to the state and the serfs more tightly to the nobility.

The reforms died not in a confrontation but in the gap between what
Catherine said Russia was becoming and what she was willing to pay to get there. Her private letters show a ruler who understood the contradiction clearly and chose to live inside it. What she adapted was not her goals but her definition of what success required.

Operational environment

Political

Catherine's legitimacy rested on two foundations pointing in opposite directions. The nobility had made her empress and could unmake her; keeping their support meant protecting serf ownership. European intellectual opinion required her to be the enlightened reformer. She could not fully satisfy both audiences, and she knew it from the start.


Social

Russia's economy rested on serf labor in a way that made Enlightenment reform socially incoherent, not merely politically difficult. Reforming the legal status of serfs was a structural threat to the class whose loyalty Catherine needed most. The serfs, constituting the majority of the population, had no representation in the commission and no peaceful mechanism to express their interests.


Intellectual

The Nakaz was not a cynical document, Catherine spent two years writing it and took its ideas seriously. But it assumed institutional conditions that did not exist in Russia: an independent judiciary, a literate bureaucracy, a propertied middle class. The gap between its premises and Russian reality was not a flaw in its logic. It was a flaw in its premises.


External

The Ottoman war was genuine, not manufactured. But it offered more than a legal pretext for dissolving the commission — it reoriented Russian political attention outward, toward territorial expansion, where Catherine's authority was less contested and success was achievable. Dominating the south became the substitute project for reforming the interior.

People management

Catherine's exceptional skill with people was her ability to give each audience a version of herself that was true enough to be credible and incomplete enough to be useful. She managed perception through selective disclosure — showing different people the parts of her thinking that served the relationship, while keeping the contradictions strictly private. People who needed fundamentally incompatible things from her felt, simultaneously, that she was on their side.


She showed different versions of herself to different audiences

The nobility needed to believe she would protect the social order. The philosophers wanted to believe she was dismantling it. Catherine gave both what they needed: action for the nobility, language for the philosophers. The key was keeping the two audiences from comparing notes, which geography and language largely did for her. Voltaire read the Nakaz. He did not read the decrees that followed the Pugachev Rebellion. And because he had publicly staked part of his reputation on her, backing away would have required admitting he had been wrong, a cost most people will not pay. She gave his enthusiasm room to grow and relied on it to survive the gap between her promises and her actions.


She prepared the retreat before the failure was visible

The commission had already failed before the Ottoman war began. But Catherine had been positioning for an exit before the failure became undeniable. By framing the commission as a consultative process rather than a reform program, she preserved the ability to dissolve it as an administrative decision rather than a political defeat. The label placed on the process at the start determined how the ending could be read.


She managed rivals by absorbing them into the process

Rather than confronting the nobility's resistance, Catherine let them participate in a process that changed nothing, while using the appearance of consultation to legitimate her rule. The delegates who blocked reform did not feel they had beaten her — they felt they had been heard. Opposition given a legitimate forum is harder to organize into revolt than opposition that has been ignored or overruled.


She kept her private understanding strictly private

Catherine's letters show she understood the central contradiction of her reign with unusual clarity, that the serfs were being abandoned, that the Nakaz could not be implemented, that the commission would fail. She committed none of this to any communication that could circulate. Leaders who narrate their own compromises destroy the credibility those compromises were designed to preserve.


Managing herself: holding the tension without resolving it

Catherine was not a cynic performing reform she never believed in. She genuinely held Enlightenment values and governed a country that structurally could not accommodate them. Living inside that contradiction for decades, without abandoning the values or deceiving herself about what was possible, required a discipline most leaders resolve by moving to one pole or the other. She held the tension. It did not make her happy. It made her effective.

Key insights & lessons:

Adapting to a constraint you cannot remove is different from accepting defeat.

Catherine never stopped governing as though reform were her direction of travel — building institutions, expanding education, presenting Russia as a civilization in transformation. The distinction between adapting your method and abandoning your goal is real, but it requires sustained clarity about which is which. Leaders who lose that distinction drift: they adapt so thoroughly that the original goal disappears, and what remains is the management of the constraint.


Framing the process determines how the outcome can be read.

By positioning the commission as consultation rather than commitment, Catherine retained the ability to dissolve it without the dissolution reading as defeat. The label placed on a process is not administrative detail — it is a strategic asset. Leaders who frame initiatives as explorations preserve optionality. Leaders who frame them as commitments surrender it. That framing decision, made when stakes feel low, determines what retreating will cost later.


Giving opposition a forum is sometimes more effective than defeating it.

The nobility blocked reform, but participation neutralized them as a source of open resistance. They had been consulted, heard, included. Opposition that has expressed itself through a legitimate channel is harder to organize into revolt than opposition that has been ignored. The forum that produces nothing is not always a failure. Sometimes the forum is the outcome.


When implementation is blocked, the performance of intent can still do political work.

Catherine could not reform Russia, but she could perform the project of reforming it — and that performance generated real capital: European legitimacy, domestic narrative, the loyalty of intellectuals who became advocates. The risk is that the gap between performance and action accumulates and eventually collapses the credibility it was designed to protect. How long the performance holds depends on how well the two registers are kept apart.

Outcome

The Legislative Commission dissolved in 1768 without producing a single piece of legislation. Catherine ruled for another twenty-seven years, expanding Russia dramatically, absorbing Crimea, large portions of Poland, and territory along the Black Sea. 


She modernized the Russian administration and continued corresponding with European intellectuals until the French Revolution made Enlightenment politics dangerous and she turned conservative in her final years. The serfs remained legally bound, their condition worsening across her reign. The Pugachev Rebellion of 1773 was suppressed with overwhelming force, after which Catherine further entrenched noble authority over the peasantry. 


She is remembered as one of the most capable rulers in Russian history and as the empress under whom serfdom reached its most absolute form. Both things are true simultaneously. That tension was not a failure of her reign. It was the structure of it.

Questions to ask yourself

1. Where in your current situation are you working towards an outcome you already know you cannot fully deliver on? What is the gap between what you signal and what you can actually implement, and how long can that gap remain invisible?


2. Which of your current initiatives are genuinely open questions, and which have you already privately concluded cannot succeed? Have you framed them accordingly, or are you still carrying the cost of a commitment you have already abandoned internally?


3. Where are you adapting your definition of success to fit the constraint, and where are you losing sight of the original goal entirely? Do you know the difference?

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